THE IMPACT OF THE CASHLESS POLICY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF NIGERIA

THE IMPACT OF THE CASHLESS POLICY ON ECONOMIC GROWTH OF NIGERIA

CHAPTER ONE/INTRODUCTION

Background to the Study

Today’s financial system is the product of centuries of innovation. It started as a barter economy and has moved through various incarnations in response to limitations inherent in the evolving systems. Ajayi, S.I and Ojo, O.O (2006). Changes will definitely continue to occur in response to social and technological advancements. This has  led to a shift from the old cash handling system to cashless society, which is in vogue world wide. To this end the world has witnessed an upsurge of electronic payment instruments meant to facilitate trade and simplify payments. Before the introduction of electronic payment into Nigerian banking system, customers had to walk into the banking hall to do transactions of all kind. They had to queue up and spend more hours to talk to a teller to make their transactions. Inconviniences caused by these long queues discourage most customers who sometimes renagade from the queues in annoyance. For many years, banker, IT experts, entrepreneurs and others have advocated for the replacement of physical cash and the introduction of more flexible, efficient and cost effective retail payment solutions. Baddeley, M. (2004). Nigerian banks are making huge investments in technology to upgrade their infrastructure in order to provide new electronic information based services. Such services as online retail banking are making it possible for individuals and corporate bodies to take advantage of new technologies at reasonable costs.

Before the emergence of modern banking system, banking operation was manually done, which solely account for the inefficiency in settlement of transactions. This manual system involves posting of transactions from one ledger to another without the aid of computer systems. Computations which should be done through  computer  or electronic machines were done manually, which sometimes lead to miscalculation due to human errors, which results in extention of closing hours when account is not balanced on time. This led to the introduction of electronic banking, to ameliorate the sluggish nature of banking transactions.

Electronic Banking is the application of computer technology to banking especially the payment (deposit and transfer) aspects of banking. It is a system of banking with an electronic communication network which permits on- line processing of the same day credit and debit transfers of funds between member institutions of a clearing system.

Anyawaokoro, M (1999). Electronic banking is also a system by which transactions are settled electronically with the use of electronic gadgets such as ATMs, POS terminals, GSM phones, V-cards etc, handled by e-holders, bank customers and other stakeholders. Edit, O. (2008).

Recently, the Central Bank of Nigeria and the commercial banks in Nigeria made a push to discourage reliance on cash for transactions by Nigerian for most of their transactions. A pilot scheme of this effort was kicked off on  April 1 2012 in Lagos state, while the other states were to have their own share later in the year.

1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

Monetary policy as a technique of economic management to bring about sustainable economic growth and development through cashless policy and banking introduced by the Central bank of Nigeria (CBN) is not fully operational due to high rate of illiteracy, in-adequate sensitization/education of the benefits of the cashless policy, and in-adequate logistics (such as the provision of internet connections in commercial areas, computers and Point on Sale (POS) machines).

Apart from the physical challenges, economic data and indicators are not fully available and reliable. There is a great challenge in attempting to analyze the true impact of the cashless policy on the economy of Nigeria as only few monetary and macroeconomic indicators can be traced with relation to the subject matter. Several scholars have attempted to analyze the cashless system or e-banking. However, it becomes clear that few studies present a comprehensive evaluation of cash-less banking implications in developing countries. Most ignore its economic benefits of the equation while some do incomplete examination of its negative implications. This is often due to unreliable panel data for monetary and macroeconomic indicators. Although, this study focuses on Nigeria, it is difficult to translate cashless studies from one country to another. Even payments instruments that look similar across countries on the surface may be different due to historical and legal variations (Daniel et al, 2004).

1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

The main objective of the study is to examine the impact of the cashless policy on the economy of Nigeria and how it affects economic growth. Specific objectives of the study include:

The study was guided by the following research questions:

  1. To examine the effect of cashless policy on Nigeria economy
  2. To analyze the effect of cashless policy on employment in Nigeria
  3. To examine the possibility of its acceptance in Nigeria
  4. To analyze  the effect of cashless policy on Nigerians
  5. To investigate the policies and practices that can assist implementation of cashless policy in Nigeria
  6. To analyze the best means of carrying out cashless banking

1.4 RESEARCH HYPOTHESIS

1. Ho: Cashless policy has no significant impact on the reduction of inflation in Nigeria

Hi: Cashless policy has significant impact on the reduction of inflation in Nigeria.

2. Ho: Cashless policy has no significant impact on economic growth of Nigeria

Hi: Cashless policy has significant impact on the economic growth of Nigeria.

1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY

The study will give various insights into the various implications the introduction of the cashless policy will have on the economy of Nigeria. Through examining various economic indicators such as the gross domestic product (GDP) and inflation, the study will examine and compare growth trends and changes to determine whether the cashless policy introduced by the CBN has a negative or positive effect on the economy of Nigeria.

Various challenges and prospects identified in the study will also enable various stakeholders to tackle these challenges effectively by making policies that will address them and boost the economy of Nigeria.

1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY

In pursuance of the objective of the study; attention shall be focused on electronic banking among other electronic commerce implementation. In order to conduct an empirical investigation into the adoption of Electronic banking in Nigeria and will also examine the nature of electronic banking operations from the CBN bulletin from2010-2012.

1.9 DEFINITION OF TERMS

  • Access Products – Products that allow consumers to access traditional payment instrument electronically, generally from remote locations.
  • ATM Card – An ATM card (also known as a bank card, client card, key card, or cash card) is a payment card provided by a financial institution to its customers which enables the customer to use an automated teller machine (ATM) for transactions such as: deposits, cash withdrawals, obtaining account information, and other types of banking transactions, often through interbank networks.
  • CBN – Central Bank of Nigeria.
  • Chip Card – Also known as an integrated circuit (IC) Card. A card containing one or more computers chips or integrated circuits for identification, data storage or special purpose processing used to validate personal identification numbers, authorize purchases, verify account balances and store personal records.
  • Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) – The transfer of information between organizations in machine readable form.
  • Electronic Money – Monetary value measured in currency units stored in electronic form on an electronic device in the consumer’s possession. This electronic value can be purchased and held on the device until reduced through purchase or transfer.
  • Internet Banking– This is a product that enables the Bank leverage on the Internet
  • Banking System Module in-built on the new Banking Application (BANKS) implemented by the Bank to serve the Internet Banking needs of the Bank’s customers.
  • Mobile Banking – This is a product that offers Customers of a Bank to access services as you go. Customer can make their transactions anywhere such as account balance, transaction enquiries, stop checks, and other customer’s service instructions, Balance Inquiry, Account Verification, Bill Payment, Electronic fund transfer, Account Balances, updates and history, Customer service via mobile, Transfer between accounts etc.
  • Payment System – A financial system that establishes that means for transferring money between suppliers and of fund, usually by exchanging debits or Credits between financial institutions.
  • Point Of Sale (POS) Machine – A Point-of-Sale machine is the payment device that allows credit/debit cardholders make payments at sales/purchase outlets. It allowed customers to perform the following services Retail Payments, Cashless Payments, Cash Back Balance Inquiry, Airtime Vending, Loyalty Redemption, Printing mini statement etc.
  • Smart Card – A Card with a computer chip embedded, on which financial health, educational, and security information can be stored and processed.
  • Transaction Alert – Our customers carry out debit/credit transactions on their accounts and the need to keep track of these transactions prompted the creation of the alert system by the Bank to notify customers of those transactions. The alert system also serves as notification system to reach out to customers when necessary information need to be communicated.
  • Western Union Money Transfer (WUMT) – Western union Money transfer is a product that allowed people with relatives in Diaspora who may be remitting money home for family up-keep, Project financing, School fees etc. Nigerian Communities known for having their siblings gainfully employed in other parts of the world are idle markets for Western Union Money Transfer.

REFERENCES:

Daniel, D. G., R. W. Swartz, and A. L. Fermar, (2004): ―Economics of a Cashless Society: An Analysis of Costs and Benefits of Payment Instruments‖, AEI-Brookings Joint Center

Humphrey, D. B. (2004): ―Replacement of cash by cards in U.S. Consumer Payments, Journal of Economics and Business, 56, 211–225.

Humphrey, D. B. and A. N. Berger (1990): ―Market Failure and Resource Use: Economic `Incentives to Use Different Payment Instruments‖., New York, Monograph Series in Finance and Economics.

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Related Post

The economics and profitability of Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB)on oil and gas investments in Nigeria

Abstract

Petroleum has been the mainstay of the Nigerian Economy accounting for over 30% of the GDP and 80% of government revenue. The government with the intention to make the Petroleum Industry generate the kind of economic development it ought to, has sent a Petroleum Industry Bill(PIB) which seeks to restructure the Petroleum Industry to the National Assembly.

The Fiscal Provisions of the PIB gives government a greater access to gross revenue and this consequently has an impact on the economics and profitability of oil and gas investments especially for deepwater which is already very capital intensive.

A fiscal model is developed using an Excel spreadsheet. The spreadsheet is coded by converting the texts of the PIB into mathematics. The fiscal model developed is an integration of the elements of the fiscal provisions of the PIB.

With the investment profile and expected production profile, the model generates a cash flow and profitability indices (PIs) for both investor and government.

Sensitivities are also carried out to establish the relationships between these indices and key decision variables. This understanding of the fiscal instruments would help the IOCs improve profitability.

Results from the model show that royalty rates and the Nigerian Hydrocarbon Tax (NHT) have great impact on company’s profitability. However, the sliding scale royalty system of the PIB ensures profitability for both the marginal producer and giant producer. It is also discovered that government surrenders part of its take at low oil prices while its take increases with increase in the price of oil. If IOCs can greatly reduce CAPEX especially those incurred abroad, the fiscal incentives in the PIB and the volume of hydrocarbon contained in deepwater Nigeria would make investment in deepwater remain attractive.

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Contents

The Impact of Monetary Policy And Price Stability In Nigeria

The Impact of Monetary Policy And Price Stability In Nigeria

ABSTRACT

 

This study empirically investigated the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth and stability in Nigeria, covering the period, 1981-2015. The Gross Domestic Product was used as an indicator of economic growth while the Consumer Price Index, the proxy for price stability regressed against five selected monetary policy instruments, namely, the Monetary Policy rate (MPR), Treasury Bill (TB), Liquidity Ratio (LR), Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR) and Exchange Rate (ER).Employing the Vector Error Correction model (VECM) approach, the study revealed a significant relationship between monetary policy and economic growth and price stability in Nigeria. Study also confirmed the existence of long-run significant causal relationships between monetary policy and economic growth and price stability in Nigeria. Thus, the conclusion is that monetary policy as prescribed by the CBN today, appears to be working better in the long-run than the short-run, which may account for the recent intractable problems of foreign exchange rate that the economy is currently experiencing .Based on the findings, the study therefore recommends that the Central Bank of Nigeria should not only aim at stabilizing the price level, but also put some effort in growing the economy through the real sector; Nigeria should diversify the economy to reduce the dependence on oil. Nigeria should encourage domestic production and increase exportation to achieve the objective of economic stability and development.

 

CHAPTER ONE/INTRODUCTION

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

Monetary policy is the macroeconomic policy laid down by the central bank. It is the policy of managing the economy to bring about sustainable economic growth and price stability. It also involves a deliberate action of the monetary authority to influence the quantity, cost, direction and availability of money and credit in order to achieve desired macroeconomic objectives. Monetary policy, therefore, is the process by which the Central Bank of a country controls money supply which usually targets at interest rate for the purpose of enhancing economic development (Nenbee and Madume, 2011).

In line with the foregoing above, the Central Bank of Nigeria since its inception is assumed to have been playing this role of ensuring price stability, maintain external reserves to safeguard the international value of Nigeria’s legal tender, promote sound financial system which are anchored

on the use of monetary policy towards the achievement of full employment, good standard of living and rapid economic growth (Ndekwu, 2013). Also, such policies in developing countries are designed to achieve price stability in the economy, stimulate growth and reduce poverty. In Nigeria the achievement of these objectives are predicated on the stance of fiscal and monetary policies. Over the years the major goal of monetary policy have often been the two later objectives thus inflation targeting and exchange rate policy which dominated the Central Bank of Nigeria’s monetary policy focus based on an assumption that these are essential tools of achieving macroeconomic stability (Aliyu and Englama,2009).

Before 1986 the economic environment that guided monetary policy was characterized by the dominance of the oil sector, the expanding role of the public in the economy and over dependence on the external sector. The use of market-based instruments was not feasible at that point because of the underdeveloped nature of the financial market and deliberate restraint on interest rate.

After 1986 however, with the Central Bank of Nigeria amended act, Adeoye, et al (2014) revealed that the apex bank was granted more discretion and autonomy in the conduct of monetary policy. Consequently, the focus of monetary policy during this period shifted significantly from growth and developmental objectives to price stability. However, the extent to which this has been achieved remains largely uncertain.

Ndekwu(2013) submitted that monetary policy impemented in recent years in Nigeria have been aimed at fast tracking economic reform programs with the objective of providing enabling financial system infrastructure and environment to support sustainable growth. The central bank through the deposit money banks implements policies that guarantee the orderly development of the economy through appropriate changes in the level of its various instruments of monetary policy which include the cash reserve ratio, liquidity ratio, open market operations and primary operation to influence the movement of reserve (Ndekwu, 2013).

 

Furthermore, the sectoral allocation of bank credit in CBN guideline was to stimulate the production sector and thereby stem inflationary pressure. The fixing of interest rate at relatively low level was done mainly to promote investment and growth. Occasionally special deposits were imposed to reduce the amount of free reserve and credit creating capacity of the bank. Minimum cash ratio were usually lower than those voluntarily maintained by the banks, they proved less effective as a restraint on their credit

operations (Adigwe, Echekoba and Onyeagba, 2015).

 

 

For most economies the objective of the monetary policy include price stability, maintenance of balance of payment equilibrium, promotion of employment and output growth, sustainable development (Folawewo and Osinubi, 2006). These objectives are necessary for the attainment of internal and external balance and the promotion of long run-economic growth and stability (Ndekwu, 2013).

But the contention among scholars is that the effectiveness of monetary policies in addressing these twin issues of economic growth and stability depends much on how the central bank and monetary authorities can accurately read the economic activities and prescribe adequate and timely manipulation of the monetary aggregates. Failure of these authorities in this direction often spells doom for the economy, so much so that monetary aggregates, at best fail to respond or do so with severe negative consequences. Regrettably, the situation with the Nigerian economy in terms of monetary policy effect is far from being fully investigated.

Consequently, the study is an empirical investigation on the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth and price stability in Nigeria, covering the period, 1981-2015.

STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM

 

Macroeconomic stability depends not only on the macroeconomic management of an economy but also on the structure of key market sectors. To enhance economic growth and price stability, there is need to support macroeconomic policy with structural reforms that will strengthen and improve the functioning of the markets and the appropriate sectors. Typically it is of equal importance to a country’s economic achievement to have a sound macroeconomic policies aimed at maintaining a conducive environment for long term investment in the economy.

Monetary policy is directed primarily at promoting long term economic growth; this is to be constantly re-evaluated to adapt to changing challenges and priorities over time.

The economy of Nigeria is faced with macroeconomic problems like low economic growth and high inflation rate and unemployment. Even with price stability being one of the main objectives of monetary policy in Nigeria, coupled with the adoption of various monetary regimes by the Central Bank of Nigeria over the years, Nigerian economy is still bedeviled with poor economic growth, inflation, unemployment, all culminating in unsatisfactory expansion of domestic output (Omoke and Ugwuanyi, 2010; Onyeiwu, 2012; Koshy, 2012; Michael and Ebibai, 2014).

Presently, there is this nagging issue of whether monetary policy is actually an effective instrument of economic growth and price stability or not, especially given the fact that monetary policy instruments have been in operation in Nigeria since the establishment of the Central Bank of Nigeria as the apex Bank with very little to show in terms of its performance in the economy. For instance, some commentators are of the opinion that monetary policy has not solved the major macroeconomic problems of economy. The Nigerian economy is also characterized by policy summersaults where monetary policies initiated by one administration are sometimes not continued or implemented by succeeding administrations. Sometimes monetary policy measures are not implemented at the appropriate time (Ebiringa, 2014; Nwoko, Ihemeje and Anumadu, 2016). Furthermore, it is believed that when monetary policy instruments are used in developed countries, the intended purposes are usually achieved and the populace strongly believes in the credibility of such policies thereby directing the economic actions and behaviors accordingly. The case seems however, not to be the same for developing countries because people see such pronouncements as mere rituals that may not have any impact on the economy (Okwo,Eze and Nwoha,2012;Bernhard,2013).

Against this background, this study empirically investigates the impact of monetary policy on economic growth and price stability of Nigeria, covering the period, 1981-2015.

  OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY

 

The main objective of this research is to examine the influence of monetary policy on economic growth and price stability in Nigeria. Specifically, the study is to accomplish the following objectives;

  1. To determine the effect of monetary policy on economic growth in
  2. To ascertain that a long-run relationship exists between monetary policy and economic growth in
  3. To examine the impact of monetary policy on price stability in
  4. To ascertain that a long-run relationship exists between monetary policy and price stability in

RESEARCH QUESTIONS

On the basis of the above-stated objectives, this study therefore is to answer the following research questions;

  1. What is the influence of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria?
  2. To what extent has monetary policy led to significant long run economic growth in Nigeria?
  3. How has monetary policy affected price stability in Nigeria?
  4. To what extent has monetary policy led to significant long run price stability in Nigeria?

   RESEARCH HYPOTHESES

With the objectives of this study in mind and having raised the necessary research questions, the following research hypotheses were therefore formulated to guide the study;

H01: There is no significant relationship between monetary policy and economic growth in Nigeria.

H02: Monetary policy has no significant long-run relationship with economic growth in Nigeria.

H03: There is no significant relationship between monetary policy and price stability in Nigeria.

H04: Monetary policy has no significant long-run relationship with price stability in Nigeria

JUSTIFICATION OF THE STUDY

This study benefits many groups of individuals including bankers, investment analysts, government agencies, academics, private and the public sector. More so, it is useful to policy makers in the attempt to fashion out dynamic and reliable monetary policy measures for controlling commercial banks’ ability to create money and thereby influence the effective development of the economy.

The findings of this study are also beneficial to individuals, cooperate bodies, researchers and the government and its agencies at large. At the level of the corporate bodies or the individual level, it helps them understand the way the government conducts its monetary policy programs and so are better positioned to respond to such programs and policies. It also aids the government to predict with accuracy the impact of its monetary policy program on the economy at large. This research work also serves as a reference point for other researchers and the academics. Above all, it adds to existing stock of knowledge thereby filling up the

knowledge gap.

SCOPE OF THE STUDY 

This work is aimed at examining the performance of monetary policy on the Nigerian economy, especially as it affects economic growth and price stability in Nigeria. This research work covers the period of 1981 to 2015.

LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY

 

In the way of limitations, no attempt is made to cover other aspects of the economy beyond the relationship between monetary policy and economic growth and price stability. Also, the work centres only on the Nigerian economy, and so does not extend to other economies of the world.

ORGANIZATION OF THE STUDY

 

This study is divided into five chapters, with chapter one on the introduction, covering the background of the study, problem statement, objectives, research questions and hypotheses. Other sections include the significance of the research work, its scope and limitations.The chapter two covers mainly the literature review while chapters three and four

cover the methodology adopted for the study and its data presentation and analysis, respectively. In the final chapter, chapter five, the findings of the study are summarizes with conclusions drawn and recommendations made.Download Full Material-N5000

Globalization and Nigeria’s dependent economy

Globalization and Nigeria’s dependent economy

ABSTRACT

The style of information dissemination throughout the world this time has made the word globalization a common process of bringing the whole world together. As it stands now the information of any event at any part of the world gets to Nigeria or any other part of the world in a very short time. Therefore globalization has come to improve the process of communication and advancement in technology. The fast movements of goods and services, economic liberalism, scientific inventions and discoveries have reduced the large world to a global village. Nigeria as a developing country cannot shy away from globalization, since the country has been exposed to both the negative and positive effects of globalization. The objective of this article is to identify the effects of globalization on the Nigerian youths and the economy. It recognized the good opportunities of globalization, and suggests ways of eliminating the negative effects of globalization. The author reviewed existing literatures on the concepts of globalization and developmentDownload Full Material-N5000